“The Return of Volatility.” “Volatility Is Back With A Vengeance.” These are some of the headlines recapping the first quarter of 2018. Many of them
discuss volatility and risk interchangeably, as though they were both the same … but they’re not.
Risk and volatility are different, and we intend to set the record straight. In this issue of Portfolio Matters, we cover the first quarter’s risks and volatility that was (and wasn’t) witnessed in markets, and provide investors some clarity on thinking about the two individually and separately…read more.
Tax season is in full swing, and it can bring some uneasy thoughts. “How much will I get back?” “How much will I owe?” “Am I forgetting anything?” “What can I expect next year?”
In a recent team meeting, one of our firm’s partners shared a question from a client that’s often not heard, “Why is my tax bill so low?!”
This client had been taking significant IRA distributions since the beginning of retirement as they had settled into a routine of travel and other retirement leisure. Of course, IRA distributions are generally going to be taxed as income, and the client became accustomed to paying a steady tax bill each year. In recent years, their travel slowed and their expenses correspondingly decreased, but their regular withdrawals had not.
During a meeting with us last year reviewing their financial plan, this client shared their updated spending with us. As our team reviewed the numbers, it was clear that they were taking far more than they needed even after accounting for required minimum distributions (RMDs) from their IRAs.
With less travel spending and a bloated checking account balance, our team updated the client’s plan and made the simple recommendation of reducing distributions to align with their current expenses. Specifically, reducing the excess withdrawals (above RMDs) from the IRAs lowered the client’s taxable income.
As the client filed their tax return, they were pleasantly surprised to find their tax bill is far lower: $20,000 lower!
This seeming simple tweak just illustrates the power of having a system, structure, discipline, and support in managing your wealth, and this example is just the tip of the iceberg. Life happens, and circumstances change. When is the last time you reviewed your situation to ensure your financial plan is still serving your needs?
Janiczek® Wealth Management is pleased to announce we have once again been named among the TOP RANKED WEALTH MANAGERS IN DENVER COLORADO by AdvisoryHQ. This ranking adds to a long list accolades going as far back as 2001 and as recent as 2018, including:
- Financial Times
- Worth Magazine
- Mutual Funds Magazine
- CIPA (best Business/Finance Book of the Year)
Janiczek® Wealth Management specializes in serving high net worth investors (portfolios $1.5 million to $20-million) and ultra-high net worth investors (portfolios $20-million+). The firm is a pioneer in Evidence Based Investing (EBI), Strength Based Wealth Management® (SBWM) and in fiduciary (legally need to do what is in best interest of clients), fee-only (no sales of products or commissions earned), full-disclosure (no undisclosed arrangements) and full-breadth (EBI and SBWM together is our full breadth solution) investment and wealth management services.
Mr. Janiczek, our Founding Partner, has been awarded the patent on Systems and Methods for Optimizing Wealth and is the author of Absolute Financial Freedom, Investing from a Position of Strength and co-author (with Tony Jeary) of Family Wealth: Being Strategic about Your Family Legacy.
To begin exploring how our expertise and proprietary services can assist you, call us at 303-721-7000. Cathy Wegner, our Director of New Client Engagements will be glad to begin the conversation and, if appropriate, arrange a conversation or meeting with one of our advisors.
*Sources: Barron’s March 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014; Advisory HQ 2018, 2017, 2016; Financial Times June 2017, 2015; Five Star Professional November 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013, Mutual Funds Magazine January 2001; NABCAP September 2010, 2011, 2013; Worth Magazine July 2002, January 2004, October 2004, October 2008; Wealth & Finance International, October 2014, CIPA, 2001.
*Disclosure: Rankings and/or recognition by unaffiliated rating services and/or publications should not be construed by a client or prospective client as a guarantee that he/she will experience a certain level of results if Janiczek Wealth Management is engaged, or continues to be engaged, to provide investment advisory services, nor should it be construed as a current or past endorsement of Janiczek Wealth Management by any of its clients. Rankings published by magazines, and others, generally base their selections exclusively on information prepared and/or submitted by the recognized adviser.
What separates the ordinary from the extraordinary? I believe consistently doing the best with what you have with daily choices and actions. In a word: habits!
When you use the power of choice and habit, outside forces play a secondary role. It doesn’t matter how educated you are, what occupation you choose, how much you earn or who you know. What does matter is what you do with what you have today.
Habits Make the Difference
For instance, take Gladys Holm who, as a secretary, earned no more than $15,000 a year throughout her life. Yet she left $18 million dollars to a hospital for heart disease research when she passed away! Gladys had the opportunity to invest in her employers’ stock over her career and she did. She also had the opportunity to invest in other stocks (like all of us do) and she did. She had the opportunity to participate in her employer’s stock option plan and did. Notice the trend… she had many opportunities and took advantage of each one to the degree she could with her modest salary. She became known for driving her fire-engine red Cadillac and delivering teddy bears to children at a local hospital in her Chicago neighborhood.
Lifelong learning. It’s a core belief here at our firm, and we regularly read across a variety of topics. I recently asked the team to share any of their favorite books from the past year, business or otherwise. Below is what we’d offer up as our recommendations from 2017, and if you have any good book recommendations from the last year, please let us know!
As my clients know, planning for the future eventually includes a conversation about mortality. When Breath Becomes Air by Paul Kalanithi is a powerful memoir that tackles this topic to its core. This story made me reflect on how the human spirit allows us to re-imagine a new future that includes hope, faith, love and joy – no matter what the circumstances and regardless of the uncertainty. There is so much about this story that lingers, leaving each reader a new set of ideas, and most likely questions, that will, no doubt, leave you changed.
My favorite book of 2017 was The Obsession by Nora Roberts. While Nora Roberts is probably better known as a romance writer, her last several books are more mystery/thriller types that appeal to me. This story is a mystery about woman who (as a child) discovered her dad was a serial killer. Fast forward to her adulthood and she is being stalked by a serial killer who is mimicking her father’s style. The setting is the islands of Puget Sound, and I liked the story and flow of the book.
I thought Principles by Ray Dalio was a great read not just from a business perspective (Dalio founded what is now the world’s largest hedge fund), but also life principles. Obliviously he has been vastly successful in the business world, but he also shares valuable thoughts on how he lives his own life, and I think most would take something meaningful away from this book. As Dalio writes, “Time is like a river that carries us forward into encounters with reality that require us to make decisions. We can’t stop our movement down this river and we can’t avoid those encounters. We can only approach them in the best possible way.” Good stuff!
This year, I re-read The Power of TED by David Emerald because it provides great guidance on how to best interact with others in more effective ways. It explains the undesirable roles and techniques we often find ourselves in and provides an empowering alternative. For anyone who wants to lead, manage, coach, parent or help others with greater impact and results, this book is for you.
One that caught my attention earlier this year and challenged many of my longstanding beliefs was Predictably Irrational by Dan Ariely. It’s a book about human behavior and how we consistently act irrationally. So consistent, in fact, our irrational behavior is predictable. Many of his illustrations point out the ways we repeatedly act irrationally in every day behavior and makes the reader much more conscious of these actions.
The most common question clients ask me in meetings these days is, “When will this run end, and how bad will the downturn be?” Published in 2008, “The Great Depression: A Diary” is part history and part finance that offers some perspective for today’s environment. Authored by a young attorney who was fascinated with the 1929 stock market crash, this story offers an in-the-trenches account of the ugliest recession our country has ever faced. My takeaways include not only the changes in our economy and markets since the 1930s that will help prevent another 10-year depression, but also the things that remain the same, such as fear, greed, and the folly of relying on predictions in managing one’s money.
While the S&P 500 remained near its all-time high, the recent massive selloff in the technology sector went mostly unnoticed. But for investors who follow the so-called “FANG” stocks (Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, Google) the hit was painful: About $60 billion in value was wiped out in just one afternoon, representing the largest selloff in nearly 2 years.
The wipeout was a function of just how big these companies have become and the position they are in with new tax reform looming. Tech companies are expected to receive little benefit given its already-low average tax rate of 18.5% (below the 20% proposed rate).
This has caused investors to rotate out of the tech stocks and into the financial services sector, which stands to benefit more from a corporate tax rate that would drop from the current 35% to 20%.
Interestingly, the S&P 500 was relatively unaffected while this rotation into financials and out of tech ensued. The index’s volatility actually remained low, as did correlations among the S&P 500’s member stocks.
In other words, the diversity offered by the S&P 500 Index allowed for the index too remain relatively unscathed by the trading within the tech and financial sectors, a key reminder to investors that having proper exposure across the markets continues to be important with the S&P 500 near its all-time high.
We’re moved in! Take a closer look at our new Denver headquarters
The Janiczek team couldn’t be more excited about our brand new headquarters in Denver! It’s our fourth location and eighth expansion/facility-improvement in 27 years! We spent well over a year determining what new features, technologies and designs would best augment our team work and client experience and we could not be more pleased with the results of our team’s hard work. Gensler Architects worked closely with us and our general contractor and many sub-contractors to deliver a wonderful end product that will serve our company for decades ahead.
On September 1, 2017 everything came together as we moved in to our new facility at 7001 E. Belleview Ave, Suite 600, Denver, CO 80237. Its a great new building in a prime location (wonderful urban location right off the highway and rail and it has magnificent views and amenities (including a new Ruth’s Chris Steak House right off the lobby). We will be hosting an open house on Thursday, November 9th, from 3:30 – 6:00. We would love for you to stop by, chat with the team and get a tour of the many features of the layout. Until then, enjoy a few pictures of our new space!
In 2017 thus far, the only thing more dominant than the L.A. Dodgers may be large cap growth investing.
Through July, large cap growth is up over 17%, beating the S&P 500’s impressive 12% return. At the other end of the spectrum, small cap value investors have seen a minuscule 1% return, as seen in the chart below. But there’s something eerily familiar about these year-to-date results …
With the U.S. markets hitting record highs, one would assume more adults would be participating in the stock market when compared to previous years. Since the last financial crisis, we have not experienced an increase of stock market participation. The equity markets continue to march forward and the participation in these gains has not. Per research published by Gallup, a little more than 52% of Americans’ currently have money invested in the stock market. As you can see in the below graph, this matches the lowest ownership rate since 1999. During the high in 2007, nearly 2 out of 3 adults had money invested in the stock market. Did big losses experienced in 2008-09 change Americans’ sense of confidence in the stock market?
The Janiczek Team raced their way through the Donor Dash!
On Sunday, July 16th, the Janiczek team completed the Donor Dash 5k at Washington Park. The Donor Dash is a 3.1 mile run/walk to honor the lives of organ and tissue donors, celebrate the lives of organ and tissue recipients and recognize those who continue to wait for a lifesaving transplant. The Donor Dash was a huge success this year, with over 4,800 individuals participating in the event. The race hit close to home, as a few team members were racing in honor of family members who were donors or recipients.