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1. Domestic equities’ performance in Q1 was the best in nearly 10 years.
2. Favorable interest rates plus a potential China trade resolution have driven much of this year’s equity rally.
3. The Fed’s pivot to a more dovish monetary policy drove U.S. bonds higher.
1. We find little evidence of excess in the economy that usually results in a recession, and this gives us reason to think the next recession is still some time away.
2. The investment markets are re-pricing for a slowdown in economic growth, but absent a recession, the bull market is likely to resume.
3. Non-U.S. stocks and value stocks offer some attractive opportunities given their respective cycles.
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